May 16, 2021

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Mortgage News

Mortgage Rates Today, April 10 & Rate Forecast For Next Week

Today’s mortgage and refinance rates

Average mortgage rates fell yesterday. But only by the smallest measurable amount. Still, it was a surprise because earlier in the day they had probably put on weight.

I’m still not sure what is causing this prolonged slump in mortgage rate hikes. And the various theories I’ve covered before don’t really explain why it is taking so long. Therefore, I cannot give a forecast for the next seven days. And instead I have to say Mortgage rates next week are unpredictable.

Find and lock a low rate (April 10, 2021)

Current mortgage and refinancing rates

program Mortgage rates APR * change
Conventional set for 30 years 3.118%. 3.123%. Unchanged
Conventional 15 years fixed 2,375%. 2,493%. Unchanged
Conventional set for 20 years 2.875%. 2.967%. Unchanged
Conventional 10 years fixed 1.958%. 2.159%. -0.01%
Fixed FTA for 30 years 2.867%. 3.528%. -0.01%
Fixed FTA for 15 years 2.68%. 3,266%. + 0.01%
5 years ARM FHA 2.5%. 3,201%. Unchanged
30 years permanent VA 2,497%. 2,671%. Unchanged
15 years fixed VA 2.25%. 2.571%. Unchanged
5 years ARM VA 2.5%. 2,379%. Unchanged
Prices are provided by our partner network and may not reflect the market. Your rate could be different. Click here for a personalized price offer. See our tariff assumptions Here.

Find and lock a low rate (April 10, 2021)

COVID-19 Mortgage Updates: Mortgage lenders are changing interest rates and rules due to COVID-19. For the latest information on how coronavirus can affect your home loan, Click here.

Should You Lock A Mortgage Rate Today?

I cannot in good conscience recommend changing your interest rate other than saying that you might prefer to wait for the mortgage rates to rise again. However, there is a risk associated with this: they can rise sharply if (OK if) the upward trend from 2021 resumes. So you have to be ready to lock in the moment that happens.

And my general recommendations remain:

  • LOCK when you approach 7th Days
  • LOCK when you approach 15th Days
  • LOCK when you approach 30th Days
  • LOCK when you approach 45 Days
  • LOCK when you approach 60 Days

With so much uncertainty right now, however, your instincts could easily prove to be as good as mine – or better. So let your gut and your personal risk tolerance guide you.

What is driving current mortgage rates?

To be honest, I am surprised and confused that mortgage rates fell in April. Occasional and short drops are of course to be expected. But this seems to be permanent.

And I have yet to find a compelling explanation for it in the financial press. Why don’t bonds react to economic reports as usual? For example, mortgage rates would normally have risen if yesterday’s producer price index had been released – as had it had great data earlier this week. It makes no sense.

Unless, as part of their asset purchase program, the Federal Reserve buys stacks of mortgage-backed securities – the bonds that drive mortgage rates. We’ll find out soon.

In the meantime, my belief that mortgage rates must continue to rise soon remains steadfast. Assuming economists are right about the high gross domestic product (GDP) growth they expect this year, it seems inevitable. To convince me, you would need to show me some booming economies in history where interest rates have not risen.

Of course, it is always possible that the economic recovery derails. But it seems far more likely that the boom will hit the station pretty on schedule.

Economic reports next week

As mentioned earlier, the bond markets are not reacting as usual to the positive economic data they have received. In fact, the opposite is true. So keep that in mind when looking at next week’s economic reports.

This includes two big ones. First, Tuesday brings March Consumer Price Index (CPI) and core CPI (CPI excluding food and energy prices). Markets are particularly sensitive to news about inflation right now. And in second place are retail sales, also for March, which are due to appear on Thursday. These could indicate whether the recovery is going as expected.

Most of the other reports for the next week are relatively unimportant. And the markets could shake them off. However, even smaller reports can move the markets if they contain unexpected news.

Here are next week’s key economic reports:

  • Tuesday – March CPI and Core CPI
  • Retail sales Thursday through March. Plus new claims for unemployment insurance every week. Also in March industrial production and capacity utilization
  • Friday – March Housing permits and start of housing

Typically, the markets react to unexpectedly good news with higher mortgage rates. You usually see lower rates when the numbers are bad. However, this has not necessarily been the case lately. And it takes a lot to get them far.

Find and lock a low rate (April 10, 2021)

Mortgage rates forecast for next week

M.Mortgage rates are essentially unpredictable right now. Yes, I expect more climbs soon. But when they do appear, one can only guess.

Mortgage and refinance rates usually move together. Note, however, that refinancing rates are currently slightly higher than those for purchase mortgages. This gap is likely to stay pretty constant as they change.

Meanwhile, a recent change in regulations has made most investment property and vacation home mortgages more expensive.

How is your mortgage rate determined?

Mortgage and refinancing rates are generally determined by the prices on a secondary market (similar to stock or bond markets) where mortgage-backed securities are traded.

And that depends a lot on the economy. Therefore, mortgage rates are typically high when things are going well and low when the economy is in trouble.

Your part

However, they play a huge role in determining your own mortgage rate in five ways. You can significantly affect it by:

  1. Shopping for Your Best Mortgage Rate – They vary widely from lender to lender
  2. Boost Your Credit Score – Even a small bump can make a big difference to your rate and payments
  3. Save the biggest down payment you can – lenders like you have real skin in this game
  4. Keep Your Other Loans Modest – The lower your other monthly obligations, the larger the mortgage you can afford
  5. Carefully Choose Your Mortgage – Are You Better Off With a Conventional, FHA, VA, USDA, Jumbo, or Any Other Loan?

The time you spend getting these ducks in a row can result in you winning lower rates.

Remember, it’s not just a mortgage rate

Be sure to consider all of your upcoming home ownership costs when figuring out what a mortgage you can afford. So concentrate on your “PITI” P.rincipal (pays out the borrowed amount), Interest (the price of borrowing), (property) T.Axes and (homeowners) IInsurance. Our Mortgage calculator can help with that.

Depending on your type of mortgage and the amount of your down payment, you may also need to purchase mortgage insurance. And that can easily reach three digits every month.

But there are other potential costs. So you have to pay homeowners association membership fees if you choose to live with an HOA anywhere. And wherever you live, you should expect repair and maintenance costs. There is no landlord who calls when something goes wrong!

After all, you have a hard time forgetting about closing costs. You can see this in the Annual Percentage (APR) you provide. Because that effectively spreads them out over the life of your loan and makes them higher than your direct mortgage rate.

However, you may be able to get help with these closing costs and Your deposit, especially if you are a first time buyer. Read:

Down payment assistance programs in each state for 2021

Mortgage rate method

The mortgage reports get interest rates based on selected criteria from multiple credit partners every day. We’ll find an average rate and an annual interest rate for each type of loan that we want to show on our chart. Since we calculate a series of average prices, this will give you a better idea of ​​what you might find in the market. We also calculate average interest rates for the same types of loans. For example, FHA was fixed with FHA. The end result is a good snapshot of the daily rates and how they change over time.